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Limnology and Oceanography

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Limnology and Oceanography's content profile, based on 32 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Differences between suspended and sinking particles regulate carbon flux in the upper mesopelagic during a Phaeocystis Bloom

Cisternas-Novoa, C.; Romanelli, E.; Passow, U.

2026-07-08 systems biology 10.64898/2026.06.09.731151 medRxiv
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Despite decades of research, the factors determining the sinking velocity of marine biogenic particles remain poorly constrained, and growing evidence suggests that particle composition and morphology are as important as size in determining particle fate. We compared characteristics of suspended and sinking particles at three depths below the mixed layer and within the layer of maximal flux attenuation during the decline of a Phaeocystis pouchetii bloom in the Labrador Sea using marine snow catchers. Biochemical and morphological characteristics of suspended and sinking particles always differed, with differences depending primarily on bloom stage, and depth accounting for comparatively less variation. Exopolymer particles played a key role, with the relative concentrations of transparent exopolymer particles consistently higher in the suspended than in the sinking particle fraction. In contrast, the partitioning of coomassie-stainable particles changed with the bloom stage, as a function of the Phaeocystis life cycle. Ballast minerals played a negligible role during the late-bloom and bloom-decline stages, and their relative importance increased during the non-bloom stage. The C:N ratio was lower in suspended than sinking particles, with differences in morphological measures depending on bloom stage. Our findings emphasize that export potential is driven not only by particle size, but also by bloom stage, which is closely linked to plankton community composition and plays a key role in the timing and magnitude of carbon flux in the upper mesopelagic. Further, this work highlights the important and diverse roles of exopolymers in regulating carbon flux.

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An ice-bucket challenge: investigating ice algae physiology in laboratory microcosms.

Baker, M. L.; Forss, E.; Kolzenburg, R.; Collins, S.; Kranz, S. A.

2026-07-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.10.737583 medRxiv
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John Raven pioneered the field of algae ecophysiology, advancing our understanding of cellular resource economics, carbon acquisition, and energy allocation. His work laid the foundation for investigating integrative physiology, linking growth-survival trade-offs across diverse environments. The sea ice habitat provides an excellent framework to continue the research John championed. With steep temperature-salinity gradients, algae survival requires a shift in physiology that we are only beginning to understand. We developed two small scale, reproducible icecosms to investigate physiological changes associated with incorporation into sea ice and survival potential post-melt. Fragilariopsis cylindrus and Nitzschia frigida, known for their association with the ice environment, and Porosira glacialis, known for its association with the ice edge, were used to mechanistically link physical properties with algal physiology and post-melt survival. We observe incorporation into the ice of F. cylindrus and N. frigida alongside vertical photophysiological profiles of F. cylindrus revealing inhospitable conditions in the top compared to the bottom layers of ice. N. frigida and P. glacialis remain viable within the ice and retain the capacity to seed populations following melt. Our results establish icecosms as experimental framework to investigate ecophysiological responses of sea ice algae and provide a foundation toward ecological and evolutionary questions.

3
Rapid shallow-water saturation and deep-water expansion of an invasive freshwater ecosystem engineer in a deep European lake

Hofstetter, L.; Mueller, T. M.; Bourqui, M.; Burlakova, L. E.; Cristante, Z. C.; Karatayev, A. Y.; Kessler, S.; Narwani, A.; Santos, J. L.; Sturm, L.; Wellauer, N.; Spaak, P.; Weber, A. A.-T.

2026-06-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.26.734794 medRxiv
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Quagga mussels (Dreissena rostriformis bugensis) are ecosystem engineers that can alter nutrient cycling, benthic-pelagic coupling, and food-web structure in deep lakes. Although their invasion trajectories are well documented in the Laurentian Great Lakes in North America, depth-specific population dynamics remain poorly resolved in recently invaded European perialpine lakes. We analyzed five annual lake-wide surveys (2021-2025) from 54 stations spanning 2.4-253 m depth in Lake Constance to quantify changes in quagga mussel density, biomass, and shell-length distribution. Contrary to expectations of lake-wide exponential growth, shallow-water populations (< 20 m) showed no significant increase during the study period and appear to have reached carrying capacity before monitoring began. In contrast, densities increased monotonically at intermediate depths (40-125 m), indicating ongoing expansion into deeper strata. Mean shell length declined with depth, and size distributions in shallow waters shifted toward larger individuals, consistent with a transition from active recruitment to somatic growth of established mussels. Compared with the Laurentian Great Lakes, Lake Constance already has substantially higher shallow-water biomass, whereas deeper invasion trajectories are broadly similar. These results show that quagga mussel invasion in deep European lakes can combine rapid littoral saturation with slower profundal expansion, complicating direct transfer of predictions from the Great Lakes. Continued depth-stratified monitoring will be essential for anticipating future ecosystem effects in perialpine lakes.

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Short term effects of salinization on the plankton community of an oligotrophic mountain lake

Ptacnik, R.; SalInvade group, lead by Izabele Suikate, ; PP-TOX group, lead by Elisabeth Varga,

2026-07-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.10.737327 medRxiv
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Freshwater salinization is of increasing concern for integrity and functioning of freshwater habitats worldwide. Experiments so far often have studied drastic salt additions, while gradient designs have been performed less commonly. We tested the effect of freshwater salinization in a mesocosm exposing the plankton community of the oligotrophic Lake Lunz, Austria, to a four-fold salinization gradient (control, 0.2, 1, a 5 ppt salt). Salinity was manipulated in a factorial design with enrichment, with 10 g L-1 and 30 g L-1 phosphorus, resulting in 8 treatments with 3 replicates each. We followed the effects of salinization on diversity, community composition and resource use over 36 days. Community composition was assessed by amplicon sequencing, Diversity loss and community turnover followed upon salt addition. All levels of salinization caused pronounced changes in community composition, with 5 ppt causing the most drastic changes. Salinization caused trophic downgrading by kicking out especially protistan consumers and rotifers, while some green algae and chrysophytes were especially tolerant, resulting in reduced phylogenetic and functional diversity with increasing salinization. In line with reduced top down control, salinization affected temporal variability in chlorophyll-a (chl-a) and resource use (RUE), with higher salinity causing more extreme fluctuations in chl-a and RUE. Enrichment overall aggravated salinization, enhancing temporal turnover and temporal fluctuations in resource use.

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Microbial Growth in an Enceladus Ocean Analog Medium Informed by Mineral Stability Modeling

Elkassas, S. M.; Ely, T.; Zhivkova, T.; Patterson, A.; Weeks, K.; Mitchell, S.; Hayes-Guastella, L.; Nathan, V.; Serres, M.; Shock, E.; Girguis, P.; German, C.; Klein, F.; Seewald, J.; Huber, J. A.

2026-07-01 microbiology 10.64898/2026.06.29.735333 medRxiv
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Evidence from the Cassini mission confirmed that Saturn's moon Enceladus hosts a subsurface alkaline ocean where rock-water reactions may generate redox disequilibria capable of supporting microbial metabolisms. To investigate potential microbial survival under simulated Enceladus ocean conditions, we used thermodynamic modeling to develop a salt formulation consistent with one possible Enceladus ocean composition and supplemented it with putative microbial energy sources to create a growth medium. The medium was inoculated with samples from diverse ocean world analog environments on Earth to determine which microorganisms could persist under Enceladus-like conditions. The microorganisms persisting in this geochemically bounded medium were heterotrophic, metabolically versatile bacteria with low carbon requirements. Genomic and physiological analyses further showed the presence of multiple stress-response pathways, sodium- based bioenergetic systems, osmoregulation strategies, and other adaptations consistent with survival in alkaline, low-nutrient settings. These results suggest that some stress-tolerant heterotrophic bacteria may serve as useful model organisms for life in Enceladus' subsurface ocean. These findings demonstrate the value of geochemically modeled media as a framework for constraining habitability, identifying relevant biosignatures, and probing potential microbial survival strategies beyond Earth.

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Seasonal patterns in Synechococcus pigment diversity at two temperate sites with contrasting oceanic regimes

Dufour, L.; Faure, E.; Partensky, F.; Mattei, F.; Uitz, J.; Petit, F.; Vellucci, V.; Golbol, M.; Ratin, M.; Gouriou, B.; Gachenot, M.; Clairet, J.; Farrant, G. K.; Hoebeke, M.; Corre, E.; Antoine, D.; Baudoux, A.-C.; Bigeard, E.; Bureau, S.; Castel, J.; Chambouvet, A.; Couet, D.; Cre hriou, R.; de Vargas, C.; Dimier, C.; Le Gall, F.; Guillou, L.; Henry, N.; Rigaut-Jalabert, F.; Jeanthon, C.; Romac, S.; Simon, N.; Szymczak, J.; Trellu, C.; Walde, M.; Hickman, A.; Dutkiewicz, S.; Kehoe, D. M.; Not, F.; Thiebaut, E.; Garczarek, L.

2026-07-13 microbiology 10.64898/2026.07.10.737521 medRxiv
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Competition for light has driven extensive pigment diversification among phytoplankton species, yet how this diversity shapes their spatiotemporal distribution in the field has been little studied so far. The cyanobacterium Synechococcus is an ideal model for addressing this issue, since this group has colonized most light spectral niches in marine environments. Here, we used an approach based on marker read recruitment from metagenomes to analyze the seasonal succession of Synechococcus pigment types (PTs) at two time-series stations off French coasts exhibiting contrasting oceanic regimes. Marked seasonality was observed at both sites. The shallow, permanently mixed English Channel site SOMLIT-Astan was characterized by an alternation between green-light specialists (PT 3a) peaking in spring, and chromatic acclimaters type A (PT 3dA) accounting for most of the Synechococcus community in winter. In contrast, the pigment diversity was much higher at the deep Mediterranean station BOUSSOLE. In the upper layer, the two main PTs were the blue light specialists (PT 3c), which dominated the community in summer and fall, and PT 3dA cells, which were more abundant in spring. The third most abundant PT was chromatic acclimaters type B (PT 3dB), which accounted for up to 15% of the surface community in late fall. Strikingly, PT 3dA was dominant at depth during most of the year. Multivariate analyses between PT abundances, clade abundances and environmental factors, notably water color indexes, suggested new associations between PTs to specific clades and ecological niches. This study provides novel insights for refining distribution models of Synechococcus PTs and phytoplankton groups in general.

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The natural history of bacterial bloomers in a decade-long time series

Deulofeu Capo, O.; Garcia-Comas, C.; Rey-Velasco, X.; Auladell, A.; Logares, R.; Garces, E.; Ferrera, I.; Sanchez, O.; Gasol, J. M.; Sebastian, M.

2026-07-01 microbiology 10.64898/2026.07.01.735832 medRxiv
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Bacterial bloomers,populations that experience rapid and significant increases in abundance in response to environmental triggers, briefly dominate marine microbial communities, potentially impacting the ecosystem by channeling large amounts of nutrients and affecting carbon fluxes. Due to their ephemeral nature, bacterial bloomers are challenging to capture, and it remains unknown whether they are restricted to specific taxonomic groups or whether they exhibit recurrent patterns. We analyzed a decade-long time series from the Blanes Bay Microbial Observatory (BBMO, NW Mediterranean Sea) to investigate bacterial bloomers in two size fractions (free-living (0.2-3 um) and particle-attached (3-20 um) communities. We identified 57 Amplicon Sequence Variants (ASVs), less than 1% of the total bacterial richness, exhibiting recurrent or chaotic blooming-like behavior. Bloomers spanned diverse phyla, though some taxonomic coherence appeared within families containing multiple blooming taxa. Monthly sampling detected bloom events on average 4.6 +- 1.9 times per year across both size fractions. Once seasonality was accounted for, blooms showed weak associations with biological and physicochemical variables, likely a consequence of monthly sampling resolution. Nonetheless, a marked shift in the blooming community within the particle-attached size fraction coincided with ecosystem disturbances from the nearby harbour restoration, suggesting that bloomers may act as disturbance sentinels. Metagenomic data showed that blooms led to marked shifts in the community functional potential. Overall, our findings underscore the importance of investigating bloom dynamics to understand microbial contributions to biogeochemical cycles and stress the need for higher-frequency sampling to accurately capture these transient but ecologically relevant events.

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The Role of Photoperiod, Light Intensity, and Iron Concentration on Cellular Physiology Photophysiology, and Proteomics in Southern Ocean Phytoplankton.

Rose, J. M.; Baker, M.; Knapp, A. N.; Chappell, P. D.; Kranz, S. A.

2026-07-09 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.08.736821 medRxiv
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Primary production in the Southern Ocean (SO) plays a critical role in regulating the global carbon cycle, yet the physiological mechanisms governing phytoplankton responses to iron (Fe) limitation and variable light remain poorly constrained. Using a custom made incubation system that simulated natural diel solar variability, we examined the interactive effects of Fe availability, light intensity, and photoperiod (continuous vs. variable) on three ecologically important SO phytoplankton: Fragilariopsis cylindrus, Phaeocystis antarctica, and Thalassiosira antarctica. Physiological, photophysiological, and proteomic measurements revealed that Fe availability was the dominant factor regulating growth, carbon production, photosynthetic performance and protein expression across all species. Distinct acclimation strategies emerged: F. cylindrus exhibited marked trade-offs between productivity and photoprotection under Fe stress, consistent with adaptation to stable, low-light, Fe-poor environments; P. antarctica maintained growth by flexibly modulating photoprotective and photosynthetic capacity, reflecting high plasticity suited to dynamic, open-ocean conditions; and T. antarctica expressed a balanced strategy, sustaining productivity and photoprotection simultaneously, characteristic of coastal bloom formers with higher Fe demand. Dynamic light regimes produced smaller, species-specific effects, influencing chlorophyll content and carbon storage primarily in T. antarctica. Correlation and z-score analyses demonstrated that Fe-rich photosynthetic proteins co-varied with biomass production, whereas photoprotective traits clustered independently, underscoring divergent energy-allocation strategies. Together, these results reveal how SO phytoplankton partition resources between productivity and photoprotection under shifting Fe-light regimes, providing mechanistic insight into their ecological niches.

9
Ocean acidification changes diet effects and differentially impacts two populations of red abalone (Haliotis rufescens)

Boles, S. E.; Swezey, D. S.; Aquilino, K. M.; Stott, H. K.; Rogers-Bennett, L.; Bush, D.; Sanford, E.; Whitehead, A.

2026-06-23 physiology 10.64898/2026.06.18.733263 medRxiv
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Absorption of CO2 by global oceans is decreasing pH resulting in ocean acidification (OA). Impacts on shellfish have been documented in ecologically and commercially important species. We examined the influence of diet and OA between two populations of red abalone (Haliotis rufescens) a species of aquaculture importance and declining wild populations. Populations experience different exposure histories: strong upwelling (Van Damme, California [VD]) historically exposed to low-pH conditions and weak-intermittent upwelling (Santa Barbara, California [SB]). Abalone were cultured under control-pH or OA-conditions and fed crustose coralline algae (CCA) or diatoms used in aquaculture. We tested treatment effects of population, settlement diet, and OA-exposure on survival as influenced by larval-energy stores. Survival in both populations was enhanced by CCA when cultured under both treatment conditions; however, by later stages, this effect remained only for SB. SB had reduced post-settlement survival when cultured under OA-conditions, whereas post-settlement survival of VD was not. Diet affected the relationship between larval-energy and post-settlement survival; a positive relationship when fed diatoms and a negative relationship with CCA. The relationship between larval energy and post-settlement survival was stronger in VD. CCA enhanced juvenile growth in SB cultured abalone at both three-months and one-year post-settlement. Settlement diets can reduce the impacts of OA on early-life stages of abalone, but population differences driven by underlying energetics affect the consistency of this outcome. These findings illuminate the impacts from OA, suggesting populations may be at risk, and inform strategies for developing and sustaining shellfish aquaculture in the face of changing ocean conditions.

10
Boosting carbon fixation and microbial dynamics in the coastal sediment ecosystem through large-scale cultivation of Gracilariopsis lemaneiformis

Pei, P.; Chen, Y.; Aslam, M.; Wu, C.; Zeng, W.; Du, H.

2026-07-01 microbiology 10.64898/2026.07.01.735803 medRxiv
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Microorganisms are the key drivers of carbon cycling in coastal marine sediment ecosystems, significantly influencing carbon storage and release during Gracilariopsis lemaneiformis cultivation. This study employed 16S rRNA sequencing, a high-throughput qPCR chip, and carbon isotope labeling to assess the impact of G. lemaneiformis cultivation on carbon cycling processes in coastal sediments. A comparative analysis was conducted between cultivated zones (GZ) of G. lemaneiformis and adjacent control zones (CZ). The results indicated that macroalgae cultivation significantly modified sediment-seawater exchange dynamics and accelerated carbon cycling within coastal marine sediment ecosystems. Furthermore, G. lemaneiformis cultivation increased the abundance of genes linked to polysaccharide degradation and carbon fixation pathways, thereby enhancing carbon cycling efficiency. The ecosystem multifunctional index, calculated based on carbon fixation gene abundance, was significantly higher in GZ compared to CZ. Incubation experiments using 13C-NaHCO3 demonstrated that cultivation markedly elevated the carbon fixation rate of sediment, emphasizing a higher potential for carbon sequestration in sedimentary environments cultivated with macroalgae. Additionally, cultivation significantly altered sediment microbial communities, simplifying their structural complexity. Key microbial taxa identified via k-core species analysis--including Subgroup10 of Desulfobacterota and MBNT15, correlated strongly with carbon fixation rates, indicating their pivotal roles in sediment carbon cycling processes. This study provides critical insights into how large-scale macroalgae cultivation influences coastal carbon dynamics and informs strategies for optimizing carbon management in aquaculture ecosystems.

11
Succession and Shifting Identities in Freshwater, Built Environment Biofilm Communities

Testerman, T.; King, S.; Welch, T. J.; Wiens, G. D.; Graf, J.

2026-06-25 microbiology 10.64898/2026.06.23.734043 medRxiv
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Biofilms on aquaculture infrastructure harbor diverse microbial communities that may influence water quality and fish health, yet the temporal dynamics of these communities remain poorly characterized. Here, we used 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing to profile biofilm communities on concrete raceway surfaces across an 80-day rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) indoor hatch-house production period. One hundred twenty-three wall swab samples from 19 raceways at six time points (9, 23, 38, 53, 65, and 80 days) were analyzed after stringent quality control. Beta diversity analyses revealed that biofilm communities at each time point were significantly distinct (PERMANOVA, p < 0.001 for all pairwise comparisons), with early communities exhibiting greater variability than late-stage biofilms. Total bacterial load increased approximately 2.5-fold from early to late stages (qPCR, p < 0.001). Differential abundance testing (ANCOM-BC) identified 57 differentially abundant genera between early-and late-stage biofilms, and random forest classification distinguished early from late communities with over 93% test accuracy. A clear successional trajectory emerged: early biofilms were dominated by pioneer taxa including Pseudomonas, Caulobacter, and Flavobacterium; mid-succession communities featured predatory Bdellovibrio and the methylotroph Methylotenera; and mature biofilms were enriched in saprophytic Saprospiraceae and Haliscomenobacter, polysaccharide-degrading Verrucomicrobiaceae, and cooperative predatory myxobacteria. Flavobacterium columnare, a pathogen of concern in aquaculture, was detected at low levels throughout the production period. These results demonstrate predictable ecological succession in freshwater built environment biofilms and provide a foundation for understanding the role of surface-associated microbial communities in hatchery management.

12
Assessing the degradation dynamics of sugar kelp in anaerobic marine sediment using environmental DNA

Tan, S. H.; Rich, J. J.; Emerson, D.; Price, N. N.; Sleith, R. S.

2026-06-24 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.23.734019 medRxiv
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Environmental DNA (eDNA) has the potential to be a powerful tool in blue carbon science for characterizing and quantifying the contribution of marine macrophytes; but its complex, dynamic relationship with bulk biomass is poorly understood. Here, we used eDNA to examine the degradation dynamics of sugar kelp (Saccharina latissima) in muddy, anaerobic marine sediment. This involved three 16-week incubations; with additions of lyophilized sugar kelp alone, a mix of lyophilized marine macrophytes including sugar kelp, and sugar kelp holdfasts buried in sediment. We used species-specific digital polymerase chain reaction assays for mitochondrial, chloroplast and nuclear markers, and metabarcoding for the 16S and 18S ribosomal RNA genes. In the former two incubations, all sugar kelp eDNA markers showed rapid log exponential declines (up to 98-99%) to asymptotes greater than the unamended controls, even as part of a more complex mix of macrophytes. In contrast, for the buried kelp holdfasts, sugar kelp eDNA increased to an asymptote (by up to [~]15X), which may be reflective of the different nature of added biomass. Overall, we demonstrate substantial preservation of environmental DNA and total organic carbon under anaerobic conditions, and the potential to use environmental DNA to quantify biomass in a blue carbon context.

13
Seasonal succession of nano- and picoplankton communities in Lake Constance: conserved dynamics despite compositional shifts under contrasting mixing and oxygen regimes

Fournier, C.; Schleheck, D.

2026-06-25 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.24.733152 medRxiv
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Lake Constance is a pre-Alpine, monomictic, oligotrophic lake situated at the southern end of Germany composed of two main water bodies: deep, oligotrophic Upper Lake Constance (ULC) and the shallow, more mesotrophic Lower Lake Constance (LLC). To date, no sequencing-based study exists of the seasonal succession of the microbial plankton in Lake Constance. Over one-year, microbial plankton communities were sampled biweekly from the top 20 m of the water column in both sites and separated into nanoplankton (NP) and picoplankton (PP). Communities were analysed using rDNA amplicon sequencing: NP samples were analysed by 18S rDNA, and PP samples by 18S and 16S rDNA sequencing. Temporal community diversity was compared between sites and the effect of two major environmental perturbations, winter vertical mixing in ULC and oxygen depletion of the bottom-water layer in LLC, on the community was examined. Despite strong environmental contrasts, microbial plankton communities exhibited conserved seasonal temporal dynamics across basins. In contrast, pronounced compositional shifts occurred during mixing and oxygen depletion events. Approximately 20% of detected taxa were positively associated with these events, with log fold changes reaching 9.82, reflecting rare or undetectable taxa outside these periods. Taxa favoured by these perturbations commonly exhibited high metabolic flexibility, including mixotrophy, fermentation, or anaerobic respiration, or possessed functional traits conferring tolerance to altered redox and mixing regimes. Our results suggest that the temporal dynamics of freshwater microbial plankton communities are driven by deterministic processes and highlight the profound impact of large, and less known, environmental changes on these communities.

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Improving coral oxidative stress assessments through compartment-specific lipid peroxidation measurements and increased methodological standardization

Mastorakos, S. W.; Kruger, A. J.; Roger, L. M.; Carbonne, C.; Sawall, Y.

2026-07-09 biochemistry 10.64898/2026.07.08.737270 medRxiv
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Lipid peroxidation (LPO) is widely used as a biomarker of oxidative stress in coral bleaching research, yet its measurement remains poorly standardized across the field. A systematic review of the coral LPO literature reveals substantial variation in methodological approaches, including tissue fraction analysis, lysis protocols, assay choice, and normalization metrics, confounding cross-study comparison and obscuring the biological interpretation of results. We experimentally investigate two key sources of variation: the use of bulk holobiont vs separated host and algal symbiont fractions, and the choice of normalization metric. To do so, we used Montastraea cavernosa (n = 6 colonies) exposed to ambient (28C), heat stress (30.5C), and heat stress + artificial upwelling (AU; heat stress intermitted by daily pulses of cooler water, 30.5/27.5C) conditions in a controlled mesocosm experiment. Using a TBARS-based MDA assay with a lysis buffer optimized for coral tissue, we measured LPO separately in coral host and algal symbiont fractions across four time points throughout the day. Host MDA remained stable across all treatments and time points, consistent with either sufficient antioxidant buffering capacity or thermal acclimation over the experimental period. Algal symbiont MDA, in contrast, exhibited pronounced diel and treatment-specific dynamics, and the two fractions responses were decoupled from one another. Normalizing MDA to coral surface area instead of total protein content produced largely consistent diel and treatment patterns, but the two metrics diverged at specific time points, indicating that normalization choice is not interchangeable and can itself affect interpretation. Together, our literature review and empirical results demonstrate that host and algal symbiont LPO dynamics are not comparable when aggregated and argue for host-symbiont fraction separation and consistent, explicitly reported normalization as minimum standards for interpretable and cross-comparable coral LPO measurement.

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Environmental tolerance, species interaction, and the link between the fundamental and realized niches: Insights from a hypersaline planktonic system

Guyot, L.; Fereol, S.; Jabbour-Zahab, R.; Chevin, L.-M.

2026-06-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.26.734780 medRxiv
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The impacts of a changing abiotic environment on fitness and performance arise not only from low tolerance to new environmental conditions, but also from changes in the abundance and interaction intensity with other species. The strength of the interaction may itself depend on how well each species performs across environments, but there is a dearth of studies investigating how intrinsic fitness and interaction intensity covary across an abiotic environmental gradient. We addressed this question in a hypersaline consumer-resource system: the microalga Dunaliella spp. grazed by the brine shrimp Artemia franciscana. We exposed four Dunaliella strains to a range of salinities above seawater, with or without brine shrimps, and tracked their population sizes over time and the survival of their predators, to estimate basic parameters of a Lotka-Volterra model. We found that the intrinsic growth rate of algae, the survival rate of predators, and the per-capita predation rate, all varied with salinity and algal strain. Significant interactions between strain and salinity further revealed that these ecological responses to salinity are evolvable. Together with correlations between demographic parameters across salinity, this suggests that predation may influence the evolution of salinity tolerance curves, blurring the line between the fundamental and realized niches.

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Macro evolutionary patterns do not predict micro evolutionary trajectories

James, C. C.; Goncalves Leles, S.; Buck-Wiese, H.; Landry, Z. C.; Morris, E.; Marshall, D.; Levine, N. M.

2026-07-11 microbiology 10.64898/2026.07.10.737868 medRxiv
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As the worlds oceans change in response to climate change, phytoplankton communities will adapt to warmer, more stratified surface waters via plasticity, evolution, and range shifts. Current global ocean models assume that size structured phytoplankton communities have fixed trait relationships, and as a result generally predict that smaller size classes will become more dominant globally. However, this general expectation fails to consider how intra-species trait tradeoffs may operate orthogonally from large-scale inter-species tradeoffs--allowing for alternative evolutionary pathways given the limits and/or possibilities available to ancestral populations. To identify evolutionary pathways phytoplankton populations might take, we develop a novel modeling framework that combines a trait-based phytoplankton quota model with stochastic evolution (ecoTRACE). EcoTRACE explicitly decouples key phytoplankton traits from interspecific allometric relationships, allowing for novel phenotypes to emerge. We validated ecoTRACE against a long-term artificial size selection experiment on Dunaliella tertiolecta. We show that ecoTRACE captures multi-dimensional evolved phenotypes that quota models based on interspecific relationships fail to reproduce. Under fluctuating multi-stressor growth, model populations evolve phenotypic plasticity that deviates from predicted interspecific allometric relationships. EcoTRACE provides a framework for generating hypotheses as to the evolutionary trajectories that phytoplankton will experience in a warmer, more variable ocean.

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Among-population variation in the threespine stickleback ( Gasterosteus aculeatus ) liver metabolome: effects of ancestry and environment

Dinh, F.;Grillo, M.;Tawfik, M.;Hendry, A.;Lind, A.;Milligan-McClellan, K.;Peichel, C.;Steinel, N.;Tseng, Y.;Weber, J.;Wu, M.;Rodriguez, A.;Dorrestein, P.;Bolnick, D.

2026-06-26 Molecular Biology 10.64898/2026.06.25.734390 medRxiv
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Untargeted metabolomics offers a powerful lens for quantifying high-dimensional phenotypic variation within and among species in nature, but has yet to be widely adopted in evolutionary ecology. Some important initial questions are whether metabolome composition differs among populations, and to what extent such variation is genetic or plastic. Here, we use untargeted liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry to characterize the relative abundance of 5,939 molecular features of the threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus) liver metabolome. Native lake populations differ in metabolome composition, reflecting effects of sex, size, geography, and population ecotype (benthic versus limnetic). Stickleback from these lakes were translocated to found new populations in nine recently fishless lakes, permuting fish ecotypes across benthic and limnetic lake habitats. Several generations later, metabolomes in these experimental populations reflect effects both of their genetic ancestry (e.g., taurocholic acid, a cholane steroid bile acid, was elevated in limnetic-ancestries), as well as their present habitat (e.g., acylcarnitines). Additionally, ecotypes transplanted into a habitat to which they were maladapted exhibited a distinctive metabolomic profile. We conclude that stickleback exhibit both heritable and plastic among-population differences in liver metabolome, which could represent an important phenotypic basis of rapid evolution, population divergence, and perhaps local adaptation.

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Biochemical Indicators of Atlantification and Diapause Strategy in Arctic Copepods Point to a Decrease in Copepod-mediated Carbon Sequestration

Hwang, J.; Lutier, M.; Dinh, K. V.; Borga, K.; Edwards, B. R.

2026-07-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.13.738257 medRxiv
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Arctic ecosystems are critically endangered by rising temperatures and changing hydrography, especially the intrusion of increasingly warm water from the Atlantic Ocean known as Atlantification. In addition to housing fragile biodiversity, Arctic copepods and their lipids play a crucial role in cycling carbon by transporting carbon into the deep ocean through their diapausing behaviors. Here, we explored the lipidomes of the Arctic copepod Calanus glacialis, collected from three fjords around Svalbard during November 2022 when C. glacialis are known to be in diapause. These three field sites provide a natural laboratory experiment, as they are influenced by different water masses with varying degrees of Atlantic water, and experience vast differences in sea ice coverage over the year. These environmental differences were clearly reflected in the lipidomic analysis, with stations influenced most by Atlantic Warm Water having the lowest total lipid concentrations and the lowest accumulation of storage lipids necessary for entering diapause. Membrane lipids were a significant proportion of the Svalbard copepod lipidomes, with the highest ratios observed at the Atlantified site. The high membrane lipid and high triacylglycerol concentrations were interpreted as signs of active feeding. This was further corroborated by fatty acid composition analysis, which revealed dietary biomarkers of carnivory at Atlantified sites. The copepods from the site most insulated from Atlantic influence had more than double the amount of storage lipids per individual and fatty acids associated with diatom biomass, indicating assimilation in the spring. Ultimately, the decrease in lipid content observed in association with Atlantification around Svalbard will impact diapause patterns, as Calanus species need 20-30% more WE to successfully complete diapause. In turn, this will impact the magnitude of carbon sequestration through the seasonal lipid pump, not to mention having radiating effects through the Arctic food web where Calanus glacialis plays an important role. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=131 SRC="FIGDIR/small/738257v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (49K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@fc9321org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1f6336org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@aaa3a1org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@dcd2a8_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Behavioral metabolic suppression confounds thermal performance estimates and climate vulnerability assessments in a marine ectotherm

Edgar, C.; Penfold, H.; Martinez, T.; Wells, C. D.

2026-07-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.13.738316 medRxiv
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O_LIThermal performance curves (TPCs) predict species vulnerability to climate change, but standard respirometry assumes that measured oxygen consumption reflects physiological state. Sessile invertebrates that retract their tentacles and contract under thermal stress violate this assumption, with unmeasured consequences for thermal limit estimates. C_LIO_LIWe tested this behavioral confound in an undescribed cold-water intertidal anemone (Urticina sp.) in the Northwest Atlantic by integrating a negative binomial encounter-rate regression, a maximum entropy species distribution model (both from effort-corrected iNaturalist data), and closed-chamber respirometry across seven temperatures (1-30{degrees}C, 18 individuals, 126 trials). C_LIO_LIThe strongest distributional predictors were cloud cover and coastal urbanization, with a weaker association with winter minimum SST; direct evidence for warm-edge thermal limitation came from the experiment. Anemone expansion state (scored 0-1 from fully closed to fully expanded) was variable and without a clear trend across the coldest treatments but declined above 20{degrees}C before collapsing at the 30{degrees}C treatment, which proved lethal to all individuals. C_LIO_LIStandard TPC models extrapolated the thermal maximum far beyond the lethal bracket ([~]74{degrees}C symmetric Gaussian; 45.9{degrees}C asymmetric). A Bayesian multiplicative model that separated physiology from behavior showed that physiology continued to track temperature while expansion state declined above 20{degrees}C; a fully expanded anemone respired about twice as fast as a fully closed one at the same temperature. The decline in measured respiration is therefore both behavioral and physiological, and disentangling the two requires recording expansion state alongside oxygen consumption. C_LIO_LIBecause a closed anemone cannot feed or exchange gases, the ecologically relevant thermal limit is the temperature at which the animal can no longer maintain its normal expanded posture, not a curve-fitted thermal maximum. That behavioral threshold leaves warm-edge populations within a few degrees of functional thermal failure. C_LIO_LIFuture thermal physiology studies of organisms capable of modulating oxygen consumption through behavior should incorporate quantitative behavioral covariates to separate physiological from behavioral components of the metabolic response. C_LI

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Trait-dependent species responses weaken the effects of response diversity on community stability

Heinrichs, A. L.; Polazzo, F.; Kunze, C.; Ghedini, G.

2026-06-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.26.734835 medRxiv
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The diversity of species responses to environmental change (response diversity) is a key mechanism of ecological stability. However, anticipating where strong or weak stabilizing responses emerge is challenging because species responses can depend on the local community and the specific stability metric. Whether species traits can consistently inform on how species respond to disturbances, enabling less context-dependent predictions, remains an open question. To address this gap, we use microcosm experiments on marine phytoplankton to test how response diversity supports multiple aspects of community stability under pulse temperature changes, testing both an increase (heatwave) and a decrease in temperature (coldspell). We then map species traits to their responses in a community to identify which traits modulate and predict species' sensitivities. Fundamental response diversity, based on the diversity of species responses to temperature measured in isolation, was a weak predictor of community stability, and relationships differed between disturbances (i.e., heatwave and coldspell). Instead, species traits were consistent predictors of species responses in communities. Small, fast-growing species were more tolerant and benefited from the disturbance, while large, slow-growing species were less tolerant and decreased in proportion - these patterns were consistent across disturbances and community compositions. These results suggest that strong trait-performance relationships might reduce the importance of response diversity for stability. But these findings also show that general species traits, such as size and growth rate, can predict which species, and how, contribute to community responses, providing an empirical basis to relate species traits to stability outcomes under climate change.